Archive for February, 2009

Range trading continues

The Euro zone data released this morning (CPI and EU unemployment) has carried the theme of the week and met the consensus expectations. The fact that CPI has remained steady will slightly ease the pressure on the ECB to cut interest rates in their March meeting. Over the last week we have continued to see [...]

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February 27, 2009  Tags: , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

RBS announce record corporate loss

Following yesterdays UK GDP data the pound looked resolute and stable, trading towards the top of the range against the dollar and the euro. This illusion was shattered by dovish comments from MPC member Blanchflower and the news that RBS announced the biggest loss in corporate history at £24.1 bn; this was attributed by Chairman [...]

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February 26, 2009  Tags: , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

US stocks bounce from the lows

Following dreadful US consumer confidence data earlier in the day the Dow posted a 2% rise, this after Bernanke testified to the Senate on the health of the US economy. He again highlighted that the US economy still faces further contraction, however he intimated that the US government would not move to nationalize US banks [...]

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February 25, 2009  Tags: , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

Asia stocks fall on growing US economic fears

Asian stocks fell heavily this morning following last night’s sharp decline in American shares. Investors responded to fears that the world’s largest economy is sinking further into recession and speculation that the US Government may be forced to buy stakes in ailing banks, despite assurances from Washington that lenders would not be nationalised. Japan’s Nikkei [...]

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February 24, 2009  Tags: , , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

US Dollar under pressure

Last week although the currency markets were choppy, we did not see a significant break out of the current ranges for the main protagonists- GBP/USD, EUR/USD and GBP/EUR. What we did see was more negativity in the equity markets as the Dow fell to the 2002 lows below 7300 amid fears that the US government [...]

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February 23, 2009  Tags: , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

Euro halts losing streak against the US Dollar

Yesterday the euro managed to halt its losing streak against the US dollar as the German finance minister stated that Germany would act if other countries in the euro zone required assistance, this helped to stall the euro decline and allay some of the fears of a potential banking crisis in Eastern Europe. Data just [...]

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February 20, 2009  Tags: , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

Nationalised banks to add £1.5 trillion to public debt

Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds TSB, the two banks bailed out by the labour Government, are to add between £1 trilion and £1.5 trillion to the public debt, the equivalent of between 70 and 100 per cent of GDP, the Office for National Statistics indicated this morning. Britain’s public sector net debt is already [...]

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February 19, 2009  Tags: , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

Euro in the spotlight

The Pound held up well yesterday as the latest inflation data confirmed that CPI fell 0.7% in January bringing the annualized level to 3.0% which is down slightly from Decembers 3.1%. The 3.0% level is still well above the Bank Of England’s 2% target for inflation and this data suggests that interest rates may not [...]

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February 18, 2009  Tags: , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

The Euro finally breaks down through the 1.2700 support

This support level has held since early December against the US dollar. The target going forward is now for a lower rate with the medium term outlook still towards 1.1500. This latest Euro weakness stemmed from renewed apprehension towards the economic outlook for Eastern Europe and a warning released by Moody’s overnight that Western European [...]

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February 17, 2009  Tags: , , , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments

UK recession worse than first feared, Bank of England’s deputy Governor warns

The UK has an odds on chance of suffering an even deeper recession than first feared, the Bank of England’s deputy Governor, Charles Bean, has warned. The Bank last week predicted a near 4 per cent year-on-year fall in output as the credit crunch tightens its grip on the wider economy. But Charles Bean told [...]

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February 16, 2009  Tags: , , ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments